TOP FOOTBALL BETTING TIPS ADVISORS

A complimentary connection exists between the past and the future in soccer betting. The bets are placed on a future outcome but the results of the past help determine the prediction for a future event. The importance of historical data analysis for making accurate predictions is well known. Some fields like the form of the teams, instances of head-to-head collisions, team’s performance against the spread etc., are examples of the data that is required to make a good prediction for football betting, especially a sure bet.

Thus, historical data is extremely important for making football predictions and earning profits. Some common metrics used in soccer betting predictions are:

• Expected goals or xG method: This retrospective measure is commonly used in soccer betting now. Herein the result is not judged based on the goals scored rather xG measures chance quality thereby helping people to get a clearer picture of the happenings on the field.
• Poisson Distribution method: This uses some maths along with the past performance data to accurately calculate an outcome probability.

It is not necessary for a prediction to be correct. It should just have better accuracy than the predictive analysis of the bookies and the other market operating factors. Punters should also remember that in soccer betting losing is a part of winning provided they win more than they lose.

Once punters have a method in place to make the required predictions, the probability of the predictions are calculated and compared with the bookmaker odds. In instances of inefficiencies wherein a punter’s estimated probabilities are higher than that of the bookmaker, they are referred to as the “edge.” Punters have to stake amounts based on the “edge.”

One way to understand the effectiveness of the predictions made by punters is to measure their ROI. However, punters should remember that if bets placed by them have value then over time profits will follow.

We, at equaliserfootball.com, always advice punters against this. Still there are times when a punter sees another punter winning consistently tends to copy the predictions of the winning punter. The rise in the popularity of punters associating with multiple tipsters clearly shows that punters willingly value predictions made by other people rather than placing their trust in one tipster.

However, punters need to remember that several bettors use tipster services. Thus, predictions, like soccer picks today, hold less value by virtue of the number of people using it. There is also an element of trust involved here.

Additionally, even if a punter associates with us at equaliserfootball.com and uses our services, we still advise him to corroborate his own predictions using ours rather than depending on us completely.

Football betting predictions are difficult to make. This fact should never be underestimated. Steps can be taken to ensure accuracy but profitability of the predictions is a different matter altogether. To make predictions profitable, they need to be measured against the success or failure achieved and adapted along the way. Maintaining consistency in this is the only way predictions would beget success. However, even before making predictions punters need to be clear about what they want to predict and how they plan to go about it.

The best way to increase the accuracy of the predictions is to build a betting model based on the data available. Predictions made, need to be tested for their profitability using this model. We, at equaliserfootball.com, also follow the same theory. However, we keep refining the model constantly, maintain it with regular frequency and test it to ensure the long-term profitability and success for punters using our predictions.